Handicapping The WBC Mandatories: If, Why and What Will Happen

Gennady Golovkin vs Jermall Charlo- 25%

Is it a great, underrated fight in the grand scheme of boxing? Yes.  However, at this point of GGG’s career, it just doesn’t make sense. With a 3rd bout with Canelo in the foreseeable future, bigger paydays against Billy Joe Saunders and Ryan Murata overseas, Charlo would probably be a last-ditch effort fight for Golovkin instead of sitting on the sideline and becoming inactive.  

Also, you have to figure Charlo in his right mind doesn’t believe beating Hugo Centero, Jorge Sebastian Heiland and Julian Williams has him any near prepared for Golovkin? Right?  I guess we can all hope he is as much of a Lion as he says he is and demands Al Haymon to make the fight.  Of course, GGG would still have to accept.

What happens in this fight?  I believe, in my humble opinion, GGG walks through Charlo and stops him between rounds 8-10.  Is it a total mismatch? Hell no, Charlo will give him a dog fight. I think it will be fought in close quarters and a highly entertaining fight.

 

Leo Santa Cruz vs Gary Russell Jr- 80%

Honestly, it should be 100% and this fight shouldn’t take more than 5 minutes to make.  Cruz and Russell are respectively ranked #1 and #2 in the world in their division and there isn’t a bigger fight in the game for either fighter.  There is absolutely no reason as to why, barring injuries, that this fight shouldn’t be made.

They share the same advisor, they are both in dire need of a super fight and boxing needs fights like this.

What happens in this fight?  Remember Julio Cesar Chavez Sr-Meldrick Taylor?  This fight has all those same qualities of contracting styles, power vs speed and skill vs tenacity.  I don’t care who wins because boxing fans win if this fight materializes.

 

Keith Thurman vs Shawn Porter- 0%

Maybe in a year, or 2,  if Thurman gets 1 or 2 tune ups in the meantime, ever.  Porter will eventually wait it out while staying busy against guys like Yordenis Ugas.

At this point you have to wonder if Thurman still has the fire to compete at this level.  With recurring injuries and a marriage, Thurman could choose to walk away ala Maidana style.

What happens in this fight?  Hopefully it picks up where the first fight ended and the fans are treated to another awesome scrap.

 

Adrien Broner vs Jorge Linares-  50%

Honestly, this is a great fight on paper.  With the majority of the top Jr Welterweights tied up with the WBSS and Bob and Al not on working terms, this is the best makeable fight at 140lbs.  We all know Linares wants it but does AB?

Golden Boy and PBC have proven that they can work together with the recent Russell-Diaz fight.  Both Linares and Broner have proven that they aren’t afraid of a challenge. So what could possibly hold this fight up?  Money of course.

What happens in this fight?  Linares is a fast starter while Broner likes to take a few rounds to find a grove and figure out his opponent.  By rounds 5 and 6, this fight could develop into a slugfest. Will Linares pressure and activity win out or will Broner’s speed and counter punching abilities win the day?  I’m going to lean towards Broner.

 

Anthony Dirrell Vs Avin Yildirim- 50%

Yildirim captured the title in the last few weeks, defeating Lolenga Mock by majority decision.  Dirrell last fought in April, defeating Abraham Han by unanimous decision.

The percentage should be higher but 1 critical aspect of the fight have me worried that this fight will not come to fruition.  It’s simple, neither fighter has ever fought overseas. I don’t see the champion, Yildirim, wanting to defend his title on foreign soil.  I sure and the hell don’t see Dirrell’s team advising him to travel to Germany where Yildirim fights the majority of his bouts. I guess we can wait and see.

What happens in this fight?  Dirrell should win and win easily.  The only notable fighter on Yildirim’s resume is Chris Eubank Jr and he was stopped in the 3rd round.  Dirrell should have too much class and pedigree for Yildirim.

 

Mikey Garcia Vs Luke Campbell- 100%

It’s simple, Garcia is in the cherry picking and mandatory business.  His recent bouts include, Robert Easter and Sergey Lipinets, both undefeated fighters with limited skill sets.  He is set to face Richard Commey next, another fighter with a limited skillset. Luke Campbell falls perfectly into the category of fighters Garcia usually faces.

Garcia will talk about potential fights with Lomachenko and Spence Jr but they will ever materialize.

What happens in this fight?  Garcia outclasses Campbell in an entertaining but one-sided fight.  

 

Erislandy Lara vs Julian Williams- 25%

I just can’t see Lara taking a step back, maybe 2, competition wise.  And quite frankly, I don’t understand how Williams has earned a mandatory fight against a fighter of Lara’s caliber.  But this just tells you how the alphabet and fighter’s advisors system works.

The reason why the percentage should be higher is the fact that Lara might have to settle for a fight like this due to other fighters avoiding him.  

What happens in this fight?  Lara puts on a clinic, either a wide margined victory on the cards or a late round stoppage.